What higher rates mean for real estate
Few markets drew more pessimism during the rate-hiking cycle than commercial real estate. While prices have stabilized and deal flow gradually improved, with rates now again moving higher, what lies ahead for the recovery?
In this episode of Can We Talk in Private?, co-hosts Alan Flannigan and Andrew Korz are joined by Rob Lawrence, Future Standard’s Global Head of Real Estate Credit, whose real estate career spans more than three decades and multiple credit cycles.
Rob discusses current market conditions and how they may be aligning to produce an ideal vintage for real estate lending.
Alan Flannigan: The commercial real estate market was the recipient of more than its fair share of apocalyptic prognostications as the Fed raised rates in 2022 and 2023. While the market did undergo a painful correction, dire outcomes were more property- specific than broad-based. And since then, the real estate market has been on an uneven road toward recovery. But the recent rise in government bond yields and the market's recognition that the Fed may be hiking yet again sparks key questions Will this throw the rebound in transaction activity off track? What can we expect for property values? How do higher rates affect CRE debt versus equity?
To discuss these topics in all things commercial real estate, we have in studio Future Standard’s Global Head of Real Estate Credit Rob Lawrence. Welcome to Can We Talk in Private? where we discuss all things private markets and share the latest in future standard thinking. Rob, welcome to the show.